Q1 results of HCL and TCS have some worrying similarities

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HCL’s Ebit margin, which was at a multi-quarter low of 17 percent, fell 100 basis points (bps) sequentially. Additionally, it fell short of the 17.6 percent consensus prediction. TCS too fell short of consensus margin projections. The Ebit margin for TCS fell to a multi-year low of 23.1%.

The second IT business to release its June quarter profits on Tuesday after market hours was HCL Technologies Ltd. However, there is scarcely any positive news for IT investors who were already dissatisfied with Tata Consultancy Services Ltd.’s (TCS) Q1FY23 performance, which was released last week. In actuality, there are unsettling parallels between the two. • First and foremost, HCL’s Ebit margin, which was at a multi-quarter low of 17 percent, decreased by 100 basis points (bps) sequentially. Additionally, it fell short of the 17.6 percent consensus prediction. Earnings before interest and taxes, or Ebit, are abbreviated. 0.01 percent is one basis point.TCS too fell short of consensus margin projections. The Ebit margin for TCS fell to a multi-year low of 23.1%.

Second, attrition increased even more. Attrition in HCL’s IT Services over the past year grew to 23.8 percent, up 190 basis points from quarter to quarter. ::. The management of the company anticipates that attrition will begin to decline starting in Q3.

Attrition at TCS increased to 19.7 percent on an LTM basis from 17.4 percent in Q4FY22The Ebit margins of HCL and TCS were impacted by higher subcontracting expenses, increasing attrition, and returning travel costs. The HCL management anticipates an increase in margins over current levels. HCL anticipates margins for FY23 to be at the lower half of its projected range of 18-20%.Additionally, compared to recent quarters, HCL and TCS both employed fewer workers in the June quarter.

In Q1FY23, TCS added a net of 14,136 new employees. According to experts at Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities, this compares to an average of about 23,000 over the preceding six quarters. Similar to TCS, the HCL management is optimistic about short-term demand and does not anticipate a slowdown. HCL has not changed its FY23 revenue growth forecast of 12 to 14 percent in constant currency.

However, in response to its earnings, the HCL stock fell to a new 52-week low of 905 on the NSE. This should not come as a surprise considering the worries IT investors already have about revenue losses brought on by the recession. Earnings estimates for FY23 have already been reduced for the sector. If margins don’t experience the anticipated recovery or client spending declines in the upcoming quarters, these may get steeper.2,089 new employees were hired by HCL during the quarter. Prabhudas Lilladher analysts point out that this is significantly less than the average increase of 9.6K employees per quarter in FY22.

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